Fantasy Update: Last-minute Watkins Glen lineup advice

first_imgDenny Hamlin nabbed the Busch Pole Qualifying Award before Sunday’s GoBowling at The Glen (3 p.m. ET on NBC, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio) at Watkins Glen International and will be a key piece of my lineup. After two practice sessions and qualifying, we’ve dissected the numbers to offer a suggested lineup worthy of your Fantasy Live consideration as you make roster decisions for the 22nd Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race of 2018. Remember that the garage locks at the end of Stage 2.Cars going to the back for inspection failures: Kurt Busch, Paul MenardCars going to the rear for unapproved adjustments: Ty Dillon, Landon CassillRJ Kraft’s revised Fantasy Live lineup following practices and the lineup being set:1: Denny Hamlin2: Martin Truex Jr.3: Joey Logano4: Chase Elliott5: AJ AllmendingerGarage: Clint BowyerPLAY NOW: Set your Fantasy Live lineup | How the new Fantasy Live worksMORE: Fantasy analysis for Watkins Glen | Driver stats | Full lineup | 10-lap averagesAnalysis: Keeping almost all of my original lineup together for Sunday’s race with one change and a flip from active to garage and vice versa. Sticking with Truex, Logano, Hamlin and Allmendinger, and they are set to start in the top 10. Think that group will mix up their strategies as well to provide for an assortment of stage points. All four have wins at Watkins Glen as well as solid histories at the road course. Logano moves from a planned garage play into the starting lineup. With three uses left on Truex and Hamlin and four on Logano, the No. 22 is in a really good spot with plays here.I’m down to two uses on Kyle Busch and I have him earmarked for Bristol with one. I’d like to keep my options for a track that will play more on speed such as Darlington or even Michigan — where despite it being his worst non-plate track based on average finish (18.9) — he does have three straight top 10s there. Indianapolis has also been a strong track for him. The bottom line is I don’t want to drop down to one use on him just yet. However, I am taking him for all my bonus picks. While its doubtful, he wins both Stages 1 and 2, I don’t want to guess wrong on the 18 strategy. So I am simply taking him across the board for all bonus picks, knowing that more than likely I will miss one stage win bonus.I’m adding Elliott into my lineup over Kurt Busch. Elliott was a stage points machine at Sonoma. He started third in that race too, earned 16 stage points and the most points for that race. He is starting third at Watkins Glen, topped final practice and posted the second-best 10-lap average in that session as well. I’m hoping for a similar result from the Hendrick Motorsports driver, who has nabbed two stage wins in his last two races. I made the decision to move away from Busch before his inspection failure tossed out his qualifying result, so that only further solidified that decision.Bowyer was in my original lineup and I am little surprised that he will start 19th. However, he has a pretty good history here — four top-six finishes in his last six Watkins Glen starts. He also started 19th and finished third at Sonoma earlier this year. I have four uses left on him, so I am keeping him around as my garage pick. Gave some serious consideration to Jimmie Johnson as well as Erik Jones but ultimately elected to stay with the Stewart-Haas Racing driver. I also think they will have a different strategy to make up track position over the course of the day and that intrigues me.last_img